Putin is about to lose his ‘Holy land’
Last week, the last remaining warship – a Project 1135 class patrol frigate – slunk quietly out of Sevastopol harbour, which had
The DEFCON Warning System’s Russia coverage focuses on developments that could affect nuclear risk, strategic stability, and the possibility of escalation between Russia, NATO, the United States, and other nuclear-armed states. Coverage includes Russian nuclear forces and doctrine, strategic weapons, military exercises, command and control, warning systems, nuclear signalling, Russia–NATO tensions, the war in Ukraine, and other developments with potential consequences for nuclear deterrence and global security.
This archive brings together current reporting, analysis, and longer-form assessments concerning Russia’s military posture, nuclear policy, strategic intentions, and the wider security environment. Particular attention is given to developments that could materially alter the risk of nuclear use or major-power confrontation, while distinguishing routine rhetoric and military activity from genuine changes in strategic danger.
The DEFCON Warning System™
The World’s Only Public Nuclear Threat Advisory System. Independent, real-time analysis of global nuclear tensions. Since 1984.
Russia
Read more
Leaked Russian Documents Reveal Deep Concern Over Chinese Aggression
In a fascinating report, Max Seddon and Chris Cook of the Financial Times reveal how Russia might use nuclear weapons to roll
Russian jamming leaves some high-tech U.S. weapons ineffective in Ukraine
Many U.S.-made satellite-guided munitions in Ukraine have failed to withstand Russian jamming technology, prompting Kyiv to stop using certain types of Western-provided
World War War III May Already Have Started—in the Shadows
Britain’s signals intelligence spy chief raised eyebrows this week with warnings that Russia is coordinating both cyberattacks and physical acts of sabotage
Russia’s ‘brazen’ and intensifying sabotage campaign across Europe
Russia is conducting a sabotage campaign across Europe in an increasingly aggressive effort by President Vladimir Putin to undermine Western support for
In the silent war down in the black abyss, Russia is now stronger than the US Navy
t took years of work, but the Russian navy’s secretive, highly specialised submarine AS-31 – nicknamed “Losharik” – is finally ready for
In the silent war down in the black abyss, Russia is now stronger than the US Navy
It took years of work, but the Russian navy’s secretive, highly specialised submarine AS-31 – nicknamed “Losharik” – is finally ready for
The Looming Ukraine Debacle
With Ukraine’s military situation deteriorating, NATO foreign ministers have gathered in Brussels to develop a long-term plan to deliver the necessary supplies
Russia Is a Serious Threat in Space, But There’s No Need to Panic
We learned recently that the United States has intelligence suggesting that Russia is considering a new anti-satellite weapon of some kind. With
Russian Nuclear Threats: Should We Be Worried?
Many will have heard Putin’s latest not-so-veiled threat, that “[NATO countries] have to understand that we also have weapons, weapons that could
Intel raises concern over Russia’s new nuclear weapon capabilities
The United States has reportedly obtained intelligence that reveals new nuclear weapons capabilities by the Russian Federation that may threaten national security,
Russia and China are on the brink of a military alliance that could overwhelm the United States
For decades, the military might of the US was unchallenged. After the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991, the US was