Russia and China are on the brink of a military alliance that could overwhelm the United States
For decades, the military might of the US was unchallenged. After the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991, the US was
The DEFCON Warning System’s Russia coverage focuses on developments that could affect nuclear risk, strategic stability, and the possibility of escalation between Russia, NATO, the United States, and other nuclear-armed states. Coverage includes Russian nuclear forces and doctrine, strategic weapons, military exercises, command and control, warning systems, nuclear signalling, Russia–NATO tensions, the war in Ukraine, and other developments with potential consequences for nuclear deterrence and global security.
This archive brings together current reporting, analysis, and longer-form assessments concerning Russia’s military posture, nuclear policy, strategic intentions, and the wider security environment. Particular attention is given to developments that could materially alter the risk of nuclear use or major-power confrontation, while distinguishing routine rhetoric and military activity from genuine changes in strategic danger.
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Russia
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What If Putin Wins? US Allies Fear Defeat as Ukraine Aid Stalls
The impasse over aid from the US and Europe has Ukraine’s allies contemplating something they’ve refused to imagine since the earliest days
So what if Russia resumes testing high-yield nukes?
The Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty is a multilateral arms control Treaty negotiated in the mid-1990s which sought to ban all nuclear weapons
Russian nuclear test would send warning signal, prompt others to follow suit
Russia may be paving the way to conduct a nuclear test, a move that would sharply raise tensions with the West and
Evidence reveals who is cheating on START treaty
While Russia has “suspended” its observance of the New START Treaty (clearly in violation of the Treaty), it nonetheless claims that it
Russia’s Gray Zone Threat after Ukraine
ussia is spent. Foreign investors and some of the country’s best minds have fled, the economy is hobbled by sanctions, and its
Satellite images show increased activity at nuclear test sites in Russia, China and US
Russia, the United States and China have all built new facilities and dug new tunnels at their nuclear test sites in recent
China, Russia taking ‘batting practice’ in air intercepts of aging US aircraft, general says
Russian and Chinese forces are growing bolder in their aerial intercepts of U.S. aircraft, in part because they’re no longer intimidated by
DEFCON Warning System Digest – Unpacking Medvedev’s Nuclear Threats
A deeper dive into Russia’s nuclear threats and how serious they should be taken.
North Korean hackers breached top Russian missile maker
An elite group of North Korean hackers secretly breached computer networks at a major Russian missile developer for at least five months
Russia takes a dangerous turn in its war on Ukraine
Russia has entered a dangerous new phase of its war against Ukraine since it exited the Black Sea grain deal earlier this
Japan raises alarm over China’s military, Russia ties and Taiwan tensions in new defense paper
The Japanese government stepped up its alarm over Chinese assertiveness, warning in a report issued Friday that the country faces its worst