Does Joe Biden Have a Deterrence Problem?
Would you be deterred by an antagonist you believe to be incompetent, irresolute, or both? That question has become part of daily
The DEFCON Warning System™
Ongoing GeoIntel and Analysis in the theater of nuclear war. DEFCON Level assessment issued for public notification. Established 1984.
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Nuclear War Threat Assessment – 3/1/24 – The DEFCON Warning System
This is the DEFCON Warning System. Alert status for 9 P.M. UTC, Friday, March 1st, 2024. Condition code is Green. DEFCON 5.
Russian Nuclear Threats: Should We Be Worried?
Many will have heard Putin’s latest not-so-veiled threat, that “[NATO countries] have to understand that we also have weapons, weapons that could
The geopolitics of World War III
On January 2, 2024, Foreign Minister Israel Katz proclaimed “We’re in the middle of World War III against Iran [led] radical Islam,
A New Korean War Is Not Imminent. Accidental Escalation Might Be
The security situation in the Korean peninsula is going from bad to worse. Bellicose words dominate over words of peace. Changes in
Is North Korea Preparing to Start A War?
A recent 38 North article by Robert Carlin and Siegfried Hecker warns that North Korea’s Kim Jong-un has likely decided to go
Intel raises concern over Russia’s new nuclear weapon capabilities
The United States has reportedly obtained intelligence that reveals new nuclear weapons capabilities by the Russian Federation that may threaten national security,
Kim Jong Un: Is North Korea’s leader actually considering war?
North Korea experts – by nature, a cautious group who seek to avoid sowing panic – have been left reeling by two
Taiwan’s Doubts About America Are Growing. That Could Be Dangerous.
The collection of American memorabilia, vast and well-lit in a busy area of City Hall in the southern Taiwanese city of Tainan,
DEFCON Warning System – Update 2/1/24
This is the DEFCON Warning System. Alert status for 9 P.M. UTC, Thursday, February 1st, 2024. Condition code is Green. DEFCON 5.
How quickly could Iran make nuclear weapons today?
Iran’s growing nuclear weapons capability is often condemned, most recently in a December28th joint statement by the United States and its close
North Korea Watchers Issue Ominous 2024 Warning
Seoul-based news organization NK Pro on Wednesday released a list of predictions for this year amid fraying stability between nuclear-armed North Korea