Why North Korea Is Going Full-Steam Ahead on Its Nuclear Weapons Program
North Korea recently convened the Eighth Congress of its ruling Workers Party. These are, of course, highly scripted affairs, but for outsiders,
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The World’s Only Public Nuclear Threat Advisory System. Independent, real-time analysis of global nuclear tensions. Since 1984.
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What Has Not Changed in U.S.-China Relations
n the last few years, it has become gospel in Washington that the status quo of U.S. policy toward China cannot continue—that
DEFCON Warning System Digest – 1-15-21
An in-depth analysis of the January 2021 DEFCON update. DEFCON Digests are more comprehensive and contain detailed analysis of the subjects that
Joe Biden’s Foreign Policy Dream Team Is Disappointing
Anyone hoping that Joe Biden’s presidency might embrace new thinking on foreign policy and a greater receptivity to the concept of restraint
As Understanding of Russian Hacking Grows, So Does Alarm
On Election Day, General Paul M. Nakasone, the nation’s top cyberwarrior, reported that the battle against Russian interference in the presidential campaign
Expect Missile Testing and Probing From North Korea, Not a Cry For Attention or Help
Specific predictions of North Korea’s actions in the coming months, such as the timing of a potential Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) launch,
DEFCON Warning System – Update 1/1/21
This is the DEFCON Warning System. Alert status for 2 P.M., Friday, January 1st, 2021. Condition code is Green. DEFCON 5. There
Russia reopens Soviet weapons lab, will test gear for Arctic conditions
Russia is building up military infrastructure in what appears to be preparation to defend its interests in the resource-rich Arctic region. The
DEFCON Warning System Digest – Ask Me Anything 12/29/20
In this Digest, your questions — anything you wanted to ask — are answered by the Director. Some serious, some not, some
Why America’s Cyber Strategy is Failing
The pattern has become disturbingly regular. Every few years, evidence surfaces of a major cyber penetration of U.S. networks, and each instance
Iran’s Plan to Topple Arab Leaders
Iran’s Islamist proxies in the Arab world have resurfaced to condemn last week’s normalization agreement between Israel and Morocco just as they
NATO’s New Purpose: An Alliance Reborn to Take on China?
Will it soon be springtime for NATO? After four years of a suddenly mercurial American partner, European foreign and defense ministers seem