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The Hidden Bombs: What You Don’t See in Official Nuclear Counts

Nuclear weapons are often discussed in terms of official treaties and declared stockpiles. But lurking behind those official numbers are additional warheads – reserve, undeclared, or tactical – that don’t always show up in the headlines. Today, nine countries possess nuclear weapons, and their true arsenals are larger and more complex than the strictly “deployed” warhead counts might suggest[1]. In total, these nations hold an estimated 12,000+ nuclear warheads as of 2025, with around 9,600 of them in active military stockpiles ready for potential use[3][4]. Below we take a neutral, fact-based look at each nuclear-armed state – from superpowers to smaller arsenals – to uncover “hidden” bombs beyond the official counts.

United States: Beyond Treaty Limits

The United States has a large nuclear arsenal that goes beyond the warheads counted under arms control treaties. As of 2025, the U.S. possesses roughly 5,177 nuclear warheads in total, of which about 3,700 are in the active stockpile (operationally available)[5]. Under the New START treaty with Russia, the U.S. is limited to 1,550 deployed strategic warheads on missiles and heavy bombers, and it currently deploys around that number (about 1,670 on strategic launchers)[6]. However, the U.S. also keeps approximately 2,000 additional warheads in reserve, which are not deployed on launchers but could be activated if needed[7]. These include strategic warheads in storage and a few hundred smaller “non-strategic” (tactical) bombs. For example, about 100 U.S. B61 nuclear gravity bombs are forward-deployed in Europe at NATO bases – these are not counted under New START and thus represent “hidden” bombs outside official strategic arms limits[9].

In addition, the U.S. has retired warheads awaiting dismantlement (roughly 1,500+ of them) which do not figure into the active stockpile count[10]. While not part of the usable arsenal, they nonetheless exist as intact weapons until dismantled. All together, this means the true inventory of U.S. nuclear weapons is larger than the deployed number alone. Washington had previously taken steps toward transparency – periodically declassifying its stockpile size – but in recent years detailed disclosures have become less consistent[11]. (A 2024 factsheet revealed 3,748 warheads in the stockpile as of late 2023, breaking a three-year silence on official figures[12].) The United States is modernising its nuclear forces as well, developing new intercontinental ballistic missiles (the Sentinel ICBM), new stealth bombers (B-21 Raider), and ballistic missile submarines (Columbia-class), while even adding some lower-yield warhead types to its arsenal[13]. All of these efforts point to an enduring – and slightly growing – stockpile, even if arms control agreements currently constrain deployed strategic warheads. The U.S. arsenal’s hidden dimension lies in its reserve weapons and bombs not covered by treaties, which remain a formidable force behind the officially declared numbers.

Russia: World’s Largest Stockpile and Tactical Secrets

Russia maintains the largest nuclear arsenal in the world, with an estimated 5,459 total warheads in inventory, of which roughly 4,309 are in the military stockpile ready for use[14]. Like the United States, Russia is bound by New START limits on deployed strategic warheads (also capped at 1,550). It currently fields about 1,700 strategic warheads on missiles and bombers within that treaty framework[15]. However, Russia’s arsenal includes a significant number of “non-strategic” or tactical nuclear warheads – around 1,500 to 2,000 of them – which are not limited by any treaty[16]. These warheads, intended for shorter-range delivery systems, are kept in central storage sites rather than deployed on operational launchers[17]. They represent a vast undeclared segment of Russia’s nukes, effectively hidden from official arms control counts. Many are assigned to systems like cruise missiles, anti-ship missiles, or even torpedoes, and could be deployed in a crisis.

In addition, Russia – like the U.S. – has a backlog of retired warheads awaiting dismantlement (roughly 1,200 by some estimates) that are not part of the active stockpile[19]. Moscow’s overall posture is one of secrecy; since early 2023, it has even stopped sharing the usual New START data updates publicly in response to tensions with the West[20]. This means outside analysts must rely on intelligence and satellite imagery to assess changes. Recent developments indicate Russia is investing in modernising its forces and even developing novel nuclear delivery systems. The Kremlin has introduced “super-weapons” like the Avangard hypersonic glide vehicle and is testing exotic arms such as the Poseidon nuclear torpedo and the Burevestnik nuclear-powered cruise missile[21]. While these grab headlines, it’s the breadth of Russia’s warhead inventory – especially its stash of tactical warheads – that constitutes the hidden bulk of its power. These smaller, undeployed bombs don’t show up in treaty counts but are very much part of Russia’s nuclear strategy, ensuring that Russia’s true arsenal extends well beyond the 1,550 deployed strategic weapons often discussed.

China: Rapid Buildup Under Secrecy

China’s nuclear forces are growing faster than any other nation’s – and almost entirely behind a veil of secrecy. As of 2025, China is estimated to have at least 600 nuclear warheads in its arsenal[22]. That number has roughly doubled in just five years, and Beijing is reportedly adding around 100 new warheads per year[23]. Unlike the U.S. and Russia, China has no arms control treaty capping its stockpile, and it does not officially declare how many warheads it has. All figures for China are thus informed estimates by experts, making its nuclear arsenal a prime example of “hidden bombs” in plain sight. Western intelligence has observed China constructing around 350 new missile silos in remote parts of the country, which could eventually house a much expanded force of intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs)[24]. If China fully utilizes this new silo capacity and continues its current trajectory, it could potentially field a nuclear arsenal in the coming decade that rivals the size of the U.S. or Russian ICBM forces[25]. U.S. Department of Defense projections have suggested China might reach 1,000 warheads by 2030 and perhaps around 1,500 by 2035, though even that would still be about one-third of the superpowers’ arsenals at current levels[26].

China officially espouses a policy of No First Use (NFU) of nuclear weapons and has traditionally kept most of its warheads stored separately from missiles in peacetime (not mated for immediate launch)[27]. This means that at any given time, only a small fraction of China’s nukes – possibly just a couple dozen – might be fully deployed on missiles or bombers[28]. The bulk of China’s warheads are effectively in reserve, to be mounted on missiles when required, which is why they don’t manifest as “deployed” counts. This deliberate opacity fuels uncertainty: the world knows China is a nuclear power, but “what the world doesn’t know” is exactly how many weapons Beijing has ready or how quickly that stockpile is expanding[29]. Recent reports underscore that China’s nuclear ambiguity is a strategic choice – by keeping others guessing, Beijing may seek deterrence with a relatively smaller force. Nonetheless, the rapid building of new missiles and warheads means China’s once-minimal arsenal is no longer quite so small. Its modernisation includes new DF-41 ICBMs, JL-3 submarine-launched missiles, and an upcoming H-20 stealth bomber, giving China a complete nuclear triad like the older nuclear powers[30]. All of this has occurred with virtually no official accounting, making China’s nuclear buildup a case of hidden strength behind modest public statements.

France: A Fixed Arsenal (With a Few in Reserve)

France is one of the more transparent nuclear-armed states when it comes to the size of its arsenal – and it maintains a relatively small but sophisticated nuclear force. The French arsenal comprises approximately 290 warheads in total, a number that has remained stable in recent years[31]. France has openly stated its warhead count is “under 300,” reflecting its policy of having only the minimum needed for deterrence. These warheads are split between France’s sea-based and air-based nuclear forces. Roughly 280 are considered deployed strategic warheads – primarily on France’s four Triomphant-class ballistic missile submarines (though usually only one submarine is on patrol at any time, carrying part of the load), and on air-launched nuclear cruise missiles carried by fighter jets[32]. The remainder of the arsenal (only around 10 warheads) can be seen as a small reserve or spare pool[34]. For instance, France does not routinely load nuclear missiles onto its single aircraft carrier in peacetime, but could do so on short notice, which implies a few warheads are kept off-deployed until needed[35].

Crucially, France does not have any known tactical or non-strategic nukes outside its primary deterrent forces – it consolidated to a single tier of weapons years ago. So in the French case, there aren’t “undeclared” batches of battlefield warheads hidden away. The official count (~290) essentially covers the whole arsenal. What France doesn’t detail publicly is the exact number of warheads loaded on each missile or sub at any moment (for flexibility, some submarine missiles carry fewer warheads than max capacity)[36]. But this is a minor uncertainty. Paris has also been modernising its forces – developing a third-generation nuclear ballistic missile submarine and a new air-launched missile, and upgrading its current M51 submarine-launched missiles with a new warhead[37]. All these efforts aim to keep France’s deterrent credible, though not larger. In summary, hidden bombs are not a major factor with France – its entire stockpile is roughly known – apart from a handful kept in reserve. France’s approach has been one of relative openness and a commitment to a stable arsenal size, in contrast to the expansion seen elsewhere.

United Kingdom: Caps, Secrecy, and a Modest Stockpile

The United Kingdom maintains a comparatively small nuclear arsenal, historically capped and transparent, though recent policy shifts have added a bit of secrecy. The UK is believed to have about 225 nuclear warheads in its stockpile currently[38]. All British nuclear warheads are designed for the Trident II (D5) submarine-launched ballistic missiles on the Royal Navy’s four Vanguard-class submarines. Typically, one submarine is on patrol at any time (to ensure a continuous at-sea deterrent), carrying an “operationally available” load of around 120 warheads total on its missiles[39]. The rest of the warheads are kept in storage on shore, available to arm the other submarines or as spares – these constitute the UK’s reserve. None are deployed on land or aircraft. So effectively, Britain’s deployed nuclear weapons at any moment are those at sea (~120), and the remainder (~100 or so) are reserve warheads not mounted on missiles day-to-day[40].

For many years, the UK was fairly open about its arsenal size. It had announced plans to reduce down to no more than 180 warheads by the mid-2020s, reinforcing a trajectory of gradual disarmament. However, in 2021 the British government reversed course, citing a deteriorating security environment, and declared an increased ceiling of up to 260 warheads for the stockpile going forward[41]. Along with this change, London decided it would no longer publicly disclose the exact number of warheads it has or how many are deployed at sea at any given time[42]. In other words, the UK introduced deliberate ambiguity where there was previously transparency. This means that while independent estimates still put the stockpile around 225 today, the precise number could slowly rise toward the new cap without public confirmation. These extra warheads (if built) would effectively be undeclared until the UK chooses to reveal the figures. Britain insists this opacity is to avoid giving potential adversaries too much information, but it also means the official nuclear count for the UK is now less clear than before[43]. Still, by global standards, the UK’s arsenal remains modest. It has no tactical nukes or nuclear bombs outside the submarine force, and all warheads are of a single type. The hidden element, therefore, is mainly in the exact numbers and any gradual increases that occur under the new higher cap. The UK is also building new Dreadnought-class submarines to replace its current boats and investing in warhead updates, ensuring its deterrent stays viable into future decades – albeit with warhead numbers constrained by that self-imposed (if now secretive) limit.

Pakistan: Growing Arsenal Off the Books

Pakistan is one of the newer nuclear powers and does not publish any official count of its warheads. Experts estimate Pakistan’s stockpile to be around 170 nuclear warheads and slowly increasing[44]. Islamabad’s weapons are believed to be kept disassembled in peacetime – with warheads stored separately from delivery systems – meaning none are considered “deployed” in the ready-to-fire sense during normal conditions[45]. All of Pakistan’s nukes would be activated and mated to missiles or aircraft only if a crisis loomed. This practice of separation adds a layer of secrecy and control, as there are no visible deployed nuclear missiles. Thus, Pakistan’s entire arsenal can be viewed as a hidden stockpile, known only through intelligence and estimates.

Pakistan began its nuclear weapons programme as a response to rival India’s nuclear capability. It has since steadily built up a diverse set of delivery systems. In recent years, Pakistan has focused on developing short-range tactical nuclear weapons, like the NASR/Hatf-9 missile, intended for battlefield use against advancing conventional forces[47]. These low-yield warheads are meant to deter India from overwhelming Pakistan with its larger army, by raising the fear that any invasion could trigger nuclear response on the battlefield. Such warheads would likely remain stored until wartime, making them essentially undeclared in peacetime forces. Pakistan has not signed the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) and is not part of any arms limitation agreements, so it faces no external reporting requirements on its arsenal. The only numbers available come from external analysis. Intelligence suggests Pakistan continues to produce fissile material (plutonium and highly enriched uranium) and develop new missiles, which could increase its warhead count in the coming years[48]. Some projections even suggest Pakistan’s arsenal might surpass Britain’s in size if current trends continue. Crucially, Pakistan has no “no-first-use” policy – it explicitly keeps open the option to use nuclear weapons first if it feels critically threatened by India[49]. This stance, combined with the opacity surrounding its arsenal, makes the exact status of Pakistan’s nuclear forces hard for outsiders to gauge. The bombs will likely remain out of sight until a grave moment when the state would choose to reveal or use them. Until then, the world must rely on estimates for Pakistan’s hidden warheads.

India: An Arsenal of Deterrence Kept in the Shadows

India possesses an estimated 160–180 nuclear warheads as of 2025, also without any official disclosure[50]. Like its neighbour and rival Pakistan, India keeps its nuclear weapons outside of ready deployment during peacetime – a reflection of its doctrine. India adheres to a declared No First Use (NFU) policy, which means its nuclear weapons are intended solely for retaliation if India were hit by nuclear weapons first. In practical terms, this policy has led India to store its warheads unassembled or away from delivery systems under normal conditions. So, similar to Pakistan, none of India’s warheads are thought to be mated on missiles or aircraft in day-to-day operations[52]. They would be brought out of storage and prepared for launch only in a scenario where nuclear war is imminent. This ensures a high threshold for use but also means that India’s effective deployed warheads at any given time is zero – the entire arsenal sits in reserve until triggered, effectively hidden from view unless deterrence fails.

India’s nuclear programme began as a deterrent against both China and Pakistan. It has developed a range of nuclear-capable ballistic missiles (Prithvi and Agni series), is testing longer-range missiles like Agni-V that can reach deep into Asia, and has introduced canisterised missile systems that could allow faster launch if needed[54]. Notably, the Agni-V is designed to be stored in sealed canisters and potentially carried with warheads in peacetime once fully operational – a shift that might put a portion of India’s arsenal in a higher state of readiness than before[55]. India is also building a sea-based deterrent, deploying nuclear-powered submarines (Arihant-class) armed with nuclear missiles, to complete a triad of land, air, and sea launch options[56]. Even as capabilities grow, India’s overall stockpile increase has been gradual and modest, keeping with its posture of minimum deterrence. It conducts no nuclear tests (since 1998) and has increased its warhead count only slowly over decades (largely for replacing older designs or modest expansion)[57]. For the outside world, India’s warheads remain opaque: there is no official count or breakdown provided. The world’s understanding of India’s arsenal comes from satellite imagery of its nuclear facilities, its missile tests, and occasional hints from officials or think-tank reports. In summary, India’s nuclear weapons are purposefully out of sight – a deterrent held in reserve. The hidden bombs in India’s case are essentially all of them: meant to stay in the background until the direst need, in line with India’s doctrine that nuclear arms are political weapons, not battlefield tools.

Israel: An Undeclared Stockpile in Ambiguity

Israel is unique among the world’s nuclear-capable states – it has never officially confirmed possessing nuclear weapons, yet it is universally believed to have them. This policy of deliberate ambiguity means Israel’s entire nuclear arsenal is undeclared. Analysts estimate Israel has on the order of 80 to 100 nuclear warheads, developed as the ultimate guarantor of national survival[58]. Israel embarked on its nuclear programme in the 1960s, and by the late 1960s or early 1970s it had produced nuclear bombs, though it has never tested one overtly. Today, its warheads are thought to be compact enough to fit on medium-range ballistic missiles (the Jericho series), as well as gravity bombs deliverable by aircraft. There are even reports that Israel may have sea-based capability via cruise missiles launched from its Dolphin-class submarines, though details remain closely guarded. Because Israel does not acknowledge its nukes, none are “officially” deployed – all are essentially hidden until a moment of extreme crisis. In practice, Israel likely keeps some number of missiles and aircraft on high readiness, but this is not advertised.

The secrecy around Israel’s arsenal is so strict that when Israeli officials speak of it, they use euphemisms like “we will not be the first country to introduce nuclear weapons in the Middle East,” maintaining a wink-nod stance. Publicly, Israel neither confirms nor denies its weapons, aiming to avoid provoking neighbors or sparking an arms race, while still reaping the deterrent effect of adversaries assuming Israel has a powerful second-strike capability[59]. This posture is often referred to as the “bomb in the basement.” It deters hostile neighbors from existential attacks because of the uncertainty – if pushed to the brink, Israel could unleash nuclear retaliation, but no one knows exactly what that might entail. According to analyses of Israel’s reactor at Dimona, Israel has probably produced enough plutonium over the decades for up to 100–200 warheads, but the actual assembled stockpile is estimated around 90 warheads given the limits of its delivery systems[60]. Recent satellite imagery suggests Israel is modernising aspects of its nuclear infrastructure (for example, construction activity at the Dimona site and a test of a long-range missile propulsion system in 2024)[61]. This indicates that Israel is ensuring its arsenal remains viable, even as it stays completely under the radar officially. In short, Israel’s nuclear weapons are the quintessential hidden bombsknown to exist, but never seen or counted in any official forum, shielded by a policy of ambiguity that has lasted for decades.

North Korea: Secretive Arsenal of a Pariah State

North Korea stands as the only country in the 21st century to have openly built and tested nuclear weapons from scratch. Yet, as a highly isolated regime, Pyongyang provides no reliable public data on its arsenal. Everything the world knows about North Korea’s nukes comes from its nuclear test history, intelligence estimates, and North Korea’s own grandiose statements (which often lack specifics). As of 2025, North Korea is believed to have produced and assembled roughly 50 nuclear warheads, and it may have enough fissile material (plutonium and enriched uranium) for perhaps 40 more beyond those[62]. These weapons are all undeclared – North Korea withdrew from the NPT and expelled international inspectors years ago, so there is zero oversight. Western and South Korean intelligence agencies must infer the arsenal size from how many bombs’ worth of material North Korea has made in its reactors and centrifuges.

What makes North Korea especially concerning is that it continues to rapidly advance its delivery systems. In recent years, it has tested large ICBMs (such as the Hwasong-17) that potentially could carry multiple warheads and strike targets as far away as the continental United States[63]. It has also conducted six nuclear explosive tests (the last in 2017), including what it claimed was a thermonuclear bomb. Leader Kim Jong Un has openly declared a policy to “exponentially” increase the nuclear arsenal and even develop “tactical” nuclear warheads for short-range use[65]. Indeed, officials in Seoul reported that North Korea is in the final stages of developing a smaller tactical nuclear weapon for battlefield purposes[66]. None of these warheads – strategic or tactical – are documented in any official count; every additional bomb North Korea builds is essentially a hidden bomb from the world’s perspective, revealed only if North Korea chooses to demonstrate it. In 2022 and 2023, Pyongyang ramped up missile testing, flaunting its nuclear-capable systems without disclosing how many warheads it actually possesses. Kim’s regime likely wants outsiders to believe it has many bombs (perhaps even more than the estimated 50), as this uncertainty itself enhances deterrence.

What is clear is that North Korea prioritises its nuclear programme as central to regime survival. It has enshrined nuclear status in its constitution and shows no intent of disarming. Every warhead it has built was done in secret defiance of UN resolutions, making its entire stockpile illicit and opaque. By now, North Korea could possibly deploy a few of its nukes on short notice – for example, it may keep some warheads mated to medium-range missiles aimed at regional targets – but the extent of its readiness is unknown. Most warheads might be kept tucked away in underground facilities until an order comes. Thus, the official nuclear count for North Korea is non-existent, and the world must contend with estimates and worst-case assumptions. North Korea’s hidden bombs epitomise the threat of the unknown: even a relatively small arsenal can have outsized impact on security calculations when its size and deployment status are uncertain.

Iran: Nuclear Threshold State (but No Bomb Yet)

Iran is a special case – it is not yet a confirmed nuclear-weapon state, but it has advanced nuclear technology to the point of being what experts call a “threshold” state. This means Iran has the capability to produce a nuclear weapon on short order if it made the political decision to do so. As of now, Iran is not known to have built or tested an actual nuclear warhead. There have been concerns and unconfirmed reports over the years speculating that Iran might have fashioned a crude device or kept some weapons-related work ready in the wings, but no public evidence exists that Iran possesses a working nuclear bomb. What Iran does have is a large stockpile of enriched uranium and the technical know-how from past weapons research. By mid-2025, Tehran had amassed over 400 kg of uranium enriched to 60% U-235 – just below weapons-grade – among a broader stockpile of several tonnes of low-enriched uranium[67]. If that 60%-enriched uranium were further enriched to the ~90% level needed for weapons, it would be enough for several atomic bombs worth of material[68]. In essence, Iran’s nuclear material production has far exceeded any civilian need, setting off alarm bells. Western intelligence and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) have also discovered evidence of undeclared nuclear activities in Iran – traces of uranium at sites Iran never disclosed, and experiments (like implosion tests) consistent with bomb design work. These findings suggest that Iran likely conducted secret weapons-related research, especially in the early 2000s under a programme known as the Amad Plan, which aimed to design warheads before it was halted[71].

All this positions Iran precariously close to the nuclear threshold. However, having the ingredients and designs is not the same as having a deliverable bomb. Iran would still need to assemble a warhead small enough to mount on a missile and perhaps conduct a nuclear test to be confident it works – steps it has so far refrained from, likely to avoid crossing the point of no return. Some analysts theorise that Iran’s leadership might choose to build one or two weapons in secret and not test them, essentially hiding a bomb as a deterrent backup while staying officially non-nuclear until it can build a larger arsenal. This is speculative, but it reflects the concern that Iran could “sneak out” and become a de facto nuclear-armed state without immediate overt signs. For now, Iran remains under intense scrutiny. The IAEA still monitors declared nuclear sites in Iran, and negotiations sporadically occur to limit Iran’s programme. Tehran insists its nuclear pursuits are peaceful and for scientific purposes, but its production of near-weapons-grade uranium has no plausible civilian explanation[73]. Should Iran decide to make a dash for the bomb, experts estimate it could enrich enough weapons-grade uranium for one device in a matter of weeks, and perhaps assemble a rudimentary nuclear explosive within months. That prospect is why Israel and other nations worry about Iran’s “hidden” bomb potential even before any bomb exists. In summary, Iran’s case isn’t about warheads kept off the books – it’s about capabilities kept in waiting. There may be no hidden bombs in Iran today, but the pieces needed to create them are largely in place, just undeclared as weapons. The world is watching closely to see if Iran will cross that line or stop short, keeping its latent nuclear power as an unacknowledged ace.

Conclusion: More Warheads Than Meets the Eye

Across all nuclear-armed states, a common thread emerges: the numbers we hear publicly are often only part of the story. Whether it’s treaty limits that exclude reserves and tactical warheads, or national policies of secrecy and ambiguity, significant portions of nuclear arsenals remain out of official counts. In 2025, roughly only one-third of the world’s ~12,000 nuclear warheads are actually deployed in the field; the rest are in storage, reserves, or awaiting dismantlement[75]. These unused weapons – the hidden bombs – still contribute to countries’ destructive potential. They can be uploaded to missiles or activated if geopolitical conditions worsen[76].

For the general public, it’s easy to focus on headline numbers like “1,550 deployed warheads” or to note that only nine countries have nukes. But as we’ve seen, every nuclear power has layers to its arsenal. Democracies like the U.S. and UK keep thousands of extra warheads beyond the deployed force (and have recently become more tight-lipped about them)[78]. Authoritarian states like China and North Korea cloak even the basics of their stockpiles in secrecy. Regional rivals India and Pakistan have dozens of weapons each, none visible until the moment of use. And Israel’s deterrent has existed for decades as an officially unspoken reality. Even arms control, where it exists, often counts only certain warheads – mainly long-range strategic weapons – and doesn’t address the smaller bombs or total inventories. For instance, Russia’s roughly 1,900 tactical warheads are completely outside any treaty and thus absent from “official” totals[79].

In essence, the true scale of nuclear weaponry worldwide is larger than what is formally acknowledged. This hidden dimension matters. It means dismantlement of retired warheads (which quietly shrinks arsenals) is as important as treaties that cap deployed ones. It means a country might appear to reduce its forces while keeping a hedge of reactivatable warheads in storage. And it means intelligence estimates and independent research are vital to understanding global nuclear balances, since governments won’t tell the full tale themselves[80]. The hidden bombs are not a call-to-action but a statement of reality: nuclear arsenals have depths and shadows. For now, those extra warheads stay in the bunkers. But they remind us that nuclear capability can rapidly scale up if relations deteriorate. What you don’t see in the official counts is a vast destructive reserve – one that leaders can bring to the forefront if the delicate stability of deterrence ever falters. In the nuclear world, what is includes not just the warheads on patrol, but also those lying in wait [82].

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