Alert Board


  • North Korea Knowns and Unknowns
    7:01 PM

    We are in the middle, not at the end, of a long North Korean crisis. No one really knows all that much about North Korea’s nuclear or conventional military capability or its strategic agenda. Are its nuclear missiles reliably lethal, are they as long-ranged and accurate as hyped, and are they under secure command and

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  • 6:09 PM

    As rumbles from North Korea’s sixth nuclear test in September 2017 subsided, debate within China exploded into character assassinations and insults. Zhu Zhihua 朱志华 a little known scholar from the Zhejiang Association of International Relations savaged Jia Qingguo 贾庆国, prominent dean of the Peking University School of International Studies, for his proposal to start contingency

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  • 6:29 PM

    Trouble in paradise? University of Hawaii administrators have warned all 18,000 students to be ready for a nuclear attack from North Korea, sending out a campus-wide email Monday explaining what to do if Kim Jong Un launches an attack. “In light of concerns about North Korea missile tests, state and federal agencies are providing information

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  • 6:47 PM

    I don’t necessarily buy the proposition that North Korea is destined to use its nuclear weapons on its southern brethren when it is painted into a corner; but still, it is worth following up on just for the sake of giving a once-over of our current reasoning about the North’s nuclear armament. The prevalent thought

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  • 6:44 PM

    A top CIA official called North Korean dictator Kim Jong-un a “very rational actor” who doesn’t want a war with the United States, despite a string of provocations that has sent tensions soaring across East Asia. “The last person who wants conflict on the [Korean peninsula] is Kim Jong-un,” Yong Suk Lee, the deputy assistant

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  • 6:05 PM

    For more than fifty years, since the entry into force of the Partial Nuclear Test Ban Treaty (PTBT), almost all nuclear-weapon possessing states have observed a moratorium on nuclear tests conducted above ground. France stopped after 1974, and China after 1980, ending the era of atmospheric nuclear tests. This choice is principally meant to prevent

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  • 9:11 PM

    North Korea’s nuclear antics have rattled its alliance with China to the point that Beijing is allowing the previously unthinkable to be discussed: Is it time to prepare for the renegade regime’s collapse? While China’s official goal is to bring Washington and Pyongyang to the negotiating table, it is also permitting once taboo debate on

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  • How to Tell If North Korea and America Are Actually Headed to War
    10:19 PM

    Watch what Donald Trump and Kim Jong Un do, not just what they say. There are moments—like when the American president threatens to “totally destroy” the nation of North Korea and its raving mad “Little Rocket Man” of a leader, while the North Koreans suggest they’ll retaliate against this “declaration of war” from a “mentally

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  • 9:32 PM

    The provocative rhetoric between U.S. President Donald Trump and the North Korean leadership is adding to an already growing sense of pessimism that peaceful denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula is possible. President Trump said Tuesday the use of military force would be “devastating for North Korea,” though it is not his “preferred option” to stop

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  • 6:40 PM

    EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: In parallel with its growing offensive nuclear capabilities, North Korea possesses fully operational, extensive arsenals of chemical and biological weapons. Pyongyang’s possession of these weapons, which are intact and ready for use, has serious implications, some of which pertain to Iran and Syria. The US Defense Intelligence Agency recently estimated that North Korea

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