2021: The Year China and Taiwan Clash?
ess than week after the inauguration of a new administration in Washington, China is already flexing its muscles in the Taiwan Strait
The DEFCON Warning System™
Ongoing GeoIntel and Analysis in the theater of nuclear war. DEFCON Level assessment issued for public notification. Established 1984.
J. Michael Cole
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The DEFCON Warning System Digest – What To Expect From A Biden Presidency
A deeper look into our analysis of a Joe Biden Presidency and what we can expect to see from it.
What To Expect From A Joe Biden Presidency
As the United States inaugurates its new President, citizens are urged to examine the man under the new light he is exposed
Why North Korea Is Going Full-Steam Ahead on Its Nuclear Weapons Program
North Korea recently convened the Eighth Congress of its ruling Workers Party. These are, of course, highly scripted affairs, but for outsiders,
What Has Not Changed in U.S.-China Relations
n the last few years, it has become gospel in Washington that the status quo of U.S. policy toward China cannot continue—that
DEFCON Warning System Digest – 1-15-21
An in-depth analysis of the January 2021 DEFCON update. DEFCON Digests are more comprehensive and contain detailed analysis of the subjects that
Joe Biden’s Foreign Policy Dream Team Is Disappointing
Anyone hoping that Joe Biden’s presidency might embrace new thinking on foreign policy and a greater receptivity to the concept of restraint
As Understanding of Russian Hacking Grows, So Does Alarm
On Election Day, General Paul M. Nakasone, the nation’s top cyberwarrior, reported that the battle against Russian interference in the presidential campaign
Expect Missile Testing and Probing From North Korea, Not a Cry For Attention or Help
Specific predictions of North Korea’s actions in the coming months, such as the timing of a potential Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) launch,
DEFCON Warning System – Update 1/1/21
This is the DEFCON Warning System. Alert status for 2 P.M., Friday, January 1st, 2021. Condition code is Green. DEFCON 5. There
Russia reopens Soviet weapons lab, will test gear for Arctic conditions
Russia is building up military infrastructure in what appears to be preparation to defend its interests in the resource-rich Arctic region. The
DEFCON Warning System Digest – Ask Me Anything 12/29/20
In this Digest, your questions — anything you wanted to ask — are answered by the Director. Some serious, some not, some