China’s Expanding Arctic Ambitions Challenge the U.S. and NATO
As the Arctic summer melts the polar bear tracks on the sea ice around Norway’s Spitsbergen Island, dozens of Chinese scientists are
The DEFCON Warning System™
The World’s Only Public Nuclear Threat Advisory System. Independent, real-time analysis of global nuclear tensions. Since 1984.
Didi Kirsten Tatlow
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Nuclear War Threat Assessment – 8/1/24 – The DEFCON Warning System
This is the DEFCON Warning System. Alert status for 5 P.M. UTC, Thursday, August 1st, 2024. Condition code is Green. DEFCON 5.
Is China at War in the South China Sea?
s China at war in the South China Sea? You be the judge. Beyond dispute its conduct is warlike—and that has implications
DEFCON Warning System Digest – Ask The Deputy Director Anything
Once a year, we do an Ask Me Anything where the Director answers any question you want to ask, from the serious
Putin is about to lose his ‘Holy land’
Last week, the last remaining warship – a Project 1135 class patrol frigate – slunk quietly out of Sevastopol harbour, which had
Why it’s too late to stop World War 3
Imagine, for a moment, that the Iranian government announces it has developed a nuclear bomb and threatens to use it on Israel.
China pursuing ‘significant’ expansion of nuclear arsenal, report says
China is in the midst of a “significant” expansion of its nuclear capabilities and may have as many intercontinental ballistic missiles as
The US is unprepared for attacks on critical infrastructure: RAND simulation
The United States is unprepared for attacks on critical infrastructure, according to a wargame simulated by the RAND Corporation. Prepared for the
Leaked Russian Documents Reveal Deep Concern Over Chinese Aggression
In a fascinating report, Max Seddon and Chris Cook of the Financial Times reveal how Russia might use nuclear weapons to roll
Can the Iran nuclear threat be neutralized?
Despite the Biden administration’s reluctance to present a resolution condemning Iran’s nuclear program escalation to the International Atomic Energy Agency’s Board of
Nuclear War Threat Assessment – July 1, 2024 – The DEFCON Warning System
This is the DEFCON Warning System. Alert status for 5 P.M. UTC, Monday, July 1st, 2024. Condition code is Green. DEFCON 5.
Will Iran president’s death hasten efforts to build nuclear bomb?
The death of Iranian president Ebrahim Raisi in a helicopter crash last Saturday came as a strategic blow to the Iranian regime,