DEFCON Warning System – Update 3/1/23

This is the DEFCON Warning System. Alert status for 9 P.M. UTC, Wednesday, March 1st, 2023.  Condition code is Green.  DEFCON 5.

There are currently no imminent nuclear threats at this time.

North Korea displays enough ICBMs to overwhelm U.S. West Coast defences, though it is uncertain if the missiles are actually capable of reaching the West Coast or if they carry enough of a payload.  Meanwhile, North Korea says it is not interested in dialogue with the United States.

The United States is to expand its access to more Philippine military bases as tensions with China over Taiwan and the South China Sea grow.  China’s navy is currently larger than the United States, boasting more total ships with even more ship coming online.  During February, China has sent what appears to be a spy balloon over the United States.  The U.S. does not immediately intercept the balloon, allowing it access to several sensitive sites.  China is estimated to have more ICBM launchers than the United States, though the U.S. has more missiles and warheads.

Russia deploys nuclear missile carriers in Arctic for first time since collapse of the Soviet Union and has suspended participation in the New START treaty which caped the number of long-range nuclear warheads the two sides can deploy and limits the use of missiles that can carry atomic weapons.  Recently, the United States has said that it cannot certify that Russia is in compliance with the New START nuclear treaty.

It is believed that Iran has enriched uranium to 84%, just shy of the level needed for a nuclear weapon.  Additionally, the IAEA reports that Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile over 18 times limit of 2015 deal.  Experts do not believe that Iran has yet mastered the technology to actually build a bomb.

The U.S. President visited Ukraine, promising more military aid.  The visit, known to the Russians ahead of time, nevertheless shows Russia’s lack of hold on Ukraine despite a year of war.  NATO has sauid that Ukraine will become a member in the future.

The DEFCON Warning System is a private intelligence organization which has monitored and assessed nuclear threats by national entities since 1984.  It is not affiliated with any government agency and does not represent the alert status of any military branch.  The public should make their own evaluations and not rely on the DEFCON Warning System for any strategic planning.  At all times, citizens are urged to learn what steps to take in the event of a nuclear attack.  If this had been an actual attack, the DEFCON Warning System will give radiation readings for areas that are reported to it.  Your readings will vary.  Official news sources will have radiation readings for your area.

For immediate updates, go to  Breaking news and important information can be found on the DEFCON Warning System community forum and on the DEFCON Twitter feed DEFCONWSAlerts.  You may also subscribe to the DEFCON Warning System mailing list.  Note that Twitter updates may be subject to delays.  The next scheduled update is 9 P.M. UTC, April 2nd, 2023.  Additional updates will be made as the situation warrants, with more frequent updates at higher alert levels.

This concludes this report of the DEFCON Warning System.

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