Will Ukraine invasion push Japan to go nuclear?
How could Japan ever contemplate getting nukes? It’s a ridiculous idea. Japan is the only country in the world to have suffered
The DEFCON Warning System™
The World’s Only Public Nuclear Threat Advisory System. Independent, real-time analysis of global nuclear tensions. Since 1984.
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The Perils of Emotional Arguments for Intervention in Ukraine
Ikrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskyy told a special session of the U.S. Congress on Wednesday that “Russia has turned the Ukrainian sky into
The Nuclear 9/11 in Our Future
In my report Surprise Attack: ICBMs and the Real Nuclear Threat (2020), I warned that U.S. strategic cultural aversion to “thinking about
“I’ve studied the possible trajectories of the Russia-Ukraine war. None are good”
Wars sometimes start easily, but it is a tenet of strategy that they are always unpredictable and extremely hard to end. Putin’s
IAEA Director General Statement on Situation in Ukraine
Ukraine informed the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) today that the Chornobyl Nuclear Power Plant (NPP) had been disconnected from the electricity
Russia ‘has gone all in’: Does Putin have a way out of his war in Ukraine?
Ukraine is still standing. That may be a surprise to Russia as its invasion grinds toward a third destructive week. Not only
The Ukraine power plant fire was contained. But nuclear experts fear what’s to come in Russia’s war.
For a small tribe of veteran atomic experts who helped secure the Soviet Union’s nuclear energy and missiles as it started to
Russia Really Could Use A Nuclear Weapon In The Ukraine Conflict
For those of you who are new to The DEFCON Warning System, you’ve probably been seeing a lot of alarming messages. Doom!
Ukraine: The risks of war in a nuclear state
The fear that Russia’s invasion of Ukraine could escalate to a nuclear war is real. But what happens if any of the
A hurting stalemate? The risks of nuclear weapon use in the Ukraine crisis
Nuclear experts are trained to think the unthinkable. So, here is an unthinkable scenario that might actually happen in real life: The
A guide: Nuclear power in Ukraine
How big is Ukraine’s nuclear power industry? Ukraine is heavily dependent on nuclear energy, with 15 reactors generating about half of its
Tripwire for real war? Cyber’s fuzzy rules of engagement
President Joe Biden couldn’t have been more blunt about the risks of cyberattacks spinning out of control. “If we end up in