Far beyond the front lines in Ukraine, Russia is waging a different kind of warfare against NATO. It is a covert, low-intensity conflict with serious consequences.
Moscow has long been waging a shadow war against the military alliance, but the war in Ukraine has led to an escalation of hybrid, or gray-zone, attacks on NATO since the conflict began.
“It’s definitely escalating from where it started and where we are now,” Gabrielius Landsbergis, who recently stepped down after four years as Lithuania’s foreign minister, told Business Insider. A longtime critic of Russia’s destabilizing hybrid warfare activities, he said that Moscow’s ambition has grown, and its approach has become increasingly more aggressive.
The uptick in gray-zone attacks has raised concerns among current and former NATO and European officials that these activities could trigger more catastrophic outcomes, especially if deterrence efforts are insufficient.
“I believe they are accelerating,” Philip Breedlove, a retired US Air Force general and a former Supreme Allied Commander Europe, told BI. “As long as they are working and there is little or no consequence to the antagonist, why would they not?”
Russia’s hybrid warfare tactics emerged years ago, but they have become significantly more common occurrences since it launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in late February 2022. Since then, European countries have experienced many attacks and sabotage attributed to Moscow. These range from arson and signal jamming to assassination attempts and hacks.
The US Helsinki Commission, an independent government agency, has identified some 150 hybrid operations on NATO territory over the past three years that have been linked to Russia. These acts include critical infrastructure attacks, campaigns of violence, election interference, and weaponized migration.
The commission said in a report released last month that Russia is carrying out a shadow war on NATO in tandem with its war in Ukraine to “destabilize, distress, and deter” the alliance in order to negatively impact support for Kyiv.
But Russian activities are about more than Ukraine. James Appathurai, NATO’s deputy assistant secretary general for innovation, hybrid, and cyber, said the Russian hybrid tactics and strategy predate the war and will continue long after it ends because Moscow views the West as an unacceptable obstacle to its great-power ambitions.
Read more at MSN
