This is the DEFCON Warning System. Alert status for 9 P.M. UTC, Wednesday, January 1st, 2025. Condition code is Green. DEFCON 5.
There are currently no imminent nuclear threats at this time.
According to Russian military, Russia had already planned to use the Oreshnik ballistic missile before the U.S. had authorized Ukraine to use American Army Tactical Missile Systems to hit targets deeper into Russia and it was not in response to Ukraine’s longer-ranged attacks as previously thought. NATO is to take over coordination of military aid to Ukraine. Meanwhile, Russia is to abandon the moratorium on deployment of intermediate and shorter range nuclear-capable missiles. This represents another escalation in the manoeuvring between Western and Russian forces.
Iran has conducted a successful space launch, which some believe also improves Iran’s ballistic missile programme. The International Atomic Energy Agency has said that Iran is “dramatically” accelerating its enrichment of uranium to up to 60% purity. This level is considered the last step before quickly enriching to weapons-grade levels. The United States warns that Iran could resort to nuclear weapons now that it has been weakened in the Middle East. Additionally, the Iranian dissident group responsible for exposing the Natanz uranium enrichment warns that Iran has intensified its secretive development of nuclear detonators. This is not an unexpected development. The DEFCON Warning System warns that Iran is currently pursuing nuclear weapons and that current governments lack the resolve to stop them. It is only a matter of time before Iran is able to deploy a nuclear arsenal.
Syria has fallen to rebel forces with Russia declining to help its ally. This could indicate Russia’s forces are stretched too thin and that Russia would be unable to sustain a conventional conflict against a large, coordinated enemy like NATO.
The United States says that China has tripled its nuclear arsenal since 2020, with an arsenal of now more than 600 warheads.
The DEFCON Warning System is a private intelligence organization which has monitored and assessed nuclear threats by national entities since 1984. It is not affiliated with any government agency and does not represent the alert status of any military branch. The public should make their own evaluations and not rely on the DEFCON Warning System for any strategic planning. At all times, citizens are urged to learn what steps to take in the event of a nuclear attack. If this had been an actual attack, the DEFCON Warning System will give radiation readings for areas that are reported to it. Your readings will vary. Official news sources will have radiation readings for your area.
For immediate updates, go to www.defconwarningsystem.com. Breaking news and important information can be found on the DEFCON Warning System community forum and on the DEFCON Twitter feed DEFCONWSAlerts. You may also subscribe to the DEFCON Warning System mailing list. Note that Twitter updates may be subject to delays. The next scheduled update is 9 P.M. UTC, February 2nd, 2025. Additional updates will be made as the situation warrants, with more frequent updates at higher alert levels.
This concludes this report of the DEFCON Warning System.
