DEFCON Warning System – Update 2/27/22

This is the DEFCON Warning System. Alert status for 3:30 P.M. UTC, Sunday, February 27th, 2022.  Condition code is Yellow.  DEFCON 3.

There are currently no imminent nuclear threats at this time, however the situation is considered fluid and can change rapidly.

Russia has raised the alert level of its nuclear forces, citing aggressive statements by NATO and the imposed sanctions as the reason for the higher posture.

Russia’s president Putin has displayed an unusual aggressiveness as of late.  It is not entirely impossible that he will react outside the realm of reasonableness.  Russia feels the West is weak and will capitulate if enough force is used.  Additionally, Russia fears the possibility of invasion, and this fear is leading to paranoia.  This is why Russia is taking such postures.

While there is no reasonable fear of further escalation, Russia is not behaving reasonably.  We therefore judge the prospect of nuclear action as “possible”.

NATO has issued more sanctions on Russia in retaliation for invasion of Ukraine and sends more reinforcements to NATO allies.  Additionally, NATO has officially activated its High Readiness Task Force.  Additionally, the United States has ended arms control talks with Russia.

The DEFCON Warning System is a private intelligence organization which has monitored and assessed nuclear threats by national entities since 1984. It is not affiliated with any government agency and does not represent the alert status of any military branch. The public should make their own evaluations and not rely on the DEFCON Warning System for any strategic planning. At all times, citizens are urged to learn what steps to take in the event of a nuclear attack. If this had been an actual attack, the DEFCON Warning System will give radiation readings for areas that are reported to it. Your readings will vary. Official news sources will have radiation readings for your area.

For immediate updates, go to Breaking news and important information can be found on the DEFCON Warning System community forum and on the DEFCON Twitter feed @DEFCONWSAlerts. You may also subscribe to the DEFCON Warning System mailing list. Note that Twitter updates may be subject to delays. The next scheduled update is 9 P.M. UTC, March 6th, 2022. Additional updates will be made as the situation warrants, with more frequent updates at higher alert levels.

This concludes this report of the DEFCON Warning System.

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