How to Know if Putin Is Going to Nuke Ukraine
Nuclear weapons have not been used in war since 1945, but their presence has loomed large over the Russian invasion of Ukraine.
The DEFCON Warning System’s Russia coverage focuses on developments that could affect nuclear risk, strategic stability, and the possibility of escalation between Russia, NATO, the United States, and other nuclear-armed states. Coverage includes Russian nuclear forces and doctrine, strategic weapons, military exercises, command and control, warning systems, nuclear signalling, Russia–NATO tensions, the war in Ukraine, and other developments with potential consequences for nuclear deterrence and global security.
This archive brings together current reporting, analysis, and longer-form assessments concerning Russia’s military posture, nuclear policy, strategic intentions, and the wider security environment. Particular attention is given to developments that could materially alter the risk of nuclear use or major-power confrontation, while distinguishing routine rhetoric and military activity from genuine changes in strategic danger.
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Russia Releases Incredibly Detailed Views Of Its Massive ‘Satan’ Missile
Russian state media outlets have offered unprecedented looks at the payload bus for the R-36M2 intercontinental ballistic missile, or ICBM, where the
No, The US Military Has Not Been At DEFCON 2 Since Russia’s Invasion
How can we say this with such certainty? Continue reading to learn why high alert levels are both short-lived and impossible to
Why Vladimir Putin Would Use Nuclear Weapons in Ukraine
On October 23rd, the Russian defense minister, Sergei Shoigu, made phone calls to the defense ministers of four NATO member countries to
Why Hasn’t Putin Gone Nuclear in Ukraine?
Will Russian president Vladimir Putin use nuclear weapons in his war against Ukraine? Putin’s constant nuclear threats have made this one of
NATO allies wake up to Russian supremacy in the Arctic
The world’s largest satellite ground station, on the Svalbard archipelago off Norway, is used by Western space agencies to gather vital signals
Putin Will Think Twice Before Nuking Ukraine
Russian president Vladimir Putin has repeatedly threatened Ukraine and its supporters with a nuclear attack that will settle the war he started
Nuclear Escalation Would Be Disastrous for Russia
Ukraine’s unexpectedly stout resistance to Russian president Vladimir Putin’s war of aggression has contradicted many expert predictions and popular assumptions about Russian
Fiona Hill: ‘Elon Musk Is Transmitting a Message for Putin’
It’s been nearly eight months since Russian President Vladimir Putin sent troops and tanks over the border into Ukraine, and a lot
Addressing Putin’s Nuclear Threat: Thinking Like the Cold War KGB Officer That He Was
The powerful explosion that crippled Vladimir Putin’s showcase bridge over the Kerch Strait linking Russia and Crimea increased pressure on the cornered
Russia is unlikely to use nuclear weapons in Ukraine
On 6 October, US President Joe Biden stated that Russian President Vladimir Putin’s recent nuclear threats amounted to the most dangerous situation
Putin Is Dangerous Because the Ukraine War Is Personal
Many commentators have been trying to guess Russia’s next move in Ukraine, especially concern the possible use of nuclear weapons. Will Russia