Strategic Threats & Global Stability Briefing — November 3, 2025
Current Status Condition Green – DEFCON 5There are currently no imminent nuclear threats at this time. The DEFCON Warning System continues to
The DEFCON Warning System™
The World’s Only Public Nuclear Threat Advisory System. Independent, real-time analysis of global nuclear tensions. Since 1984.
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Iran’s “Breakout” Reality Check: Hype, Evidence, and the Gap Between Them
If you only read the headlines, Iran is forever “weeks from a bomb.” The reality is more complicated—and it changes month by
Nuclear War Is Survivable: Debunking the Myth of Fatalism
The belief that no one could survive a nuclear war took root during the Cold War, fuelled by terrifying media portrayals and
Strategic Threats & Global Stability Briefing – 27 October 2025
This is The DEFCON Warning System. Alert status for 1 PM UTC, Monday, 27th October 2025:Condition Green – DEFCON 5. There are
The Ageing Backbone of America’s Nuclear Deterrent
How the US is keeping its decades-old land-based missiles running — and why Russia’s effort looks very different. When the United States
The Erosion of Deterrence: Why Tactical Nuclear Weapons Are Becoming Thinkable Again
For decades after Hiroshima and Nagasaki, the very notion of using nuclear weapons was considered unthinkable. A powerful nuclear taboo took hold
Strategic Threats & Global Stability Briefing – 20 October 2025
Alert Status: Condition Green – DEFCON 5Issued: 1300 UTC, Monday, 20 October 2025Current Assessment: No imminent nuclear threats at this time. China
Russia’s Yars ICBM: A Cornerstone of Moscow’s Nuclear Deterrence Strategy
Russia’s RS-24 Yars intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) represents one of the most capable and survivable nuclear delivery systems in service today. Its
Pure in Heart
He that walketh righteously … shall dwell on high. —Isaiah 33:15,16 Being pure in conduct also includes honesty and integrity in dealing
Would North Korea Actually Consider a Nuclear First Strike?
North Korea’s leadership has spent decades making blood-curdling threats. Now armed with nuclear warheads, they routinely warn of turning cities into ash.
Strategic Threats & Global Stability Briefing – 13 October 2025
This is The DEFCON Warning System. Alert status for 1300 UTC, Monday, 13th October 2025: Condition Green – DEFCON 5. There are
China Tightens Rare-Earth Export Controls: Global Defence Supply Chains on Alert
When China announced new restrictions on rare-earth exports in October 2025, it sent ripples through defence and technology sectors worldwide. The rare-earth