DEFCON Warning System – Update 2/1/23

This is the DEFCON Warning System. Alert status for 9 P.M. UTC, Wednesday, February 1st, 2023.  Condition code is Green.  DEFCON 5.

There are currently no imminent nuclear threats at this time.

There are some signs that the United States is settling on a policy of nuclear ambiguity with Iran, allowing Iran to continue to develop its nuclear programme while not officially admitting to its existence.  Meanwhile, the United Nations says Iran has enough highly enriched uranium to build several nuclear weapons.  Iran has stated that any military action against it will be a declaration of war and it is to station warships in the Panama Canal, entering the Pacific Ocean for the first time.

The United States warns that weapons manufacturing and delivery is being stressed further by the ongoing war in Ukraine. The Center for Strategic and International Studies warns that the United States would likely run out of some munitions in less than one week in a Taiwan Strait conflict.

South Korea says that if North Korea’s nuclear threat grows, South Korea would consider nuclear weapons of its own or ask the U.S. to deploy nuclear weapons on its soil.

Japan reports that it would expand military assets on the Yaeyama Island chain off the east coast of Taiwan.  Meanwhile, the United Kingdom and Japan sign an agreement which allows each country to deploy military units on each other’s soil.

Russia manufactures Poseidon nuclear-powered torpedo and will deliver them to Belgorod.  United States says it will support the transfer of F-16s to Ukraine, but it will not send F-16s itself.  However, NATO is sending heavier equipment to Ukraine, which Russia calls an escalation and evidence that NATO is a part of the war.  Russia, for its part, has refused on-site inspections to verify compliance with New START treaty conditions.

Turkey says it is considering leaving NATO.

The DEFCON Warning System is a private intelligence organization which has monitored and assessed nuclear threats by national entities since 1984.  It is not affiliated with any government agency and does not represent the alert status of any military branch.  The public should make their own evaluations and not rely on the DEFCON Warning System for any strategic planning.  At all times, citizens are urged to learn what steps to take in the event of a nuclear attack.  If this had been an actual attack, the DEFCON Warning System will give radiation readings for areas that are reported to it.  Your readings will vary.  Official news sources will have radiation readings for your area.

For immediate updates, go to  Breaking news and important information can be found on the DEFCON Warning System community forum and on the DEFCON Twitter feed @DEFCONWSAlerts.  You may also subscribe to the DEFCON Warning System mailing list.  Note that Twitter updates may be subject to delays.  The next scheduled update is 9 P.M. UTC, March 1st, 2023.  Additional updates will be made as the situation warrants, with more frequent updates at higher alert levels.

This concludes this report of the DEFCON Warning System.

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