DEFCON Warning System – Update 5/1/19

This is the DEFCON Warning System. Alert status for 2 P M, Wednesday, May 1st, 2019. Condition code is Green. DEFCON 5.

There are currently no imminent nuclear threats at this time.

At this time, we want to take note of the current situation in Venezuela. While the DEFCON Warning System does not believe there is any threat of significant hostilities breaking out between nuclear armed nations over Venezuela, it would be prudent to at least acknowledge the actors involved. The United States, Russia, and China all have interests in the region, and the United States is currently opposed to Russia and China activities in the country. There are reports of both Russian and Cuban militaries active there, supporting the Venezuela President while the United States and other countries support an opposition member which has claimed the Presidency. Both Russia and China have significant investments in the country, and neither country wish to see Venezuela gravitate toward the U.S.. Additionally, Venezuela is a good distraction for the United States and it is to both Russia and China’s interest to keep Venezuela under their influence. The United States has made statements of concern, including threatening Cuba with an all-out embargo should Cuba continue to interfere in the country, harkening back to the days of the Cuban Missile Crisis.

We will continue to monitor Venezuela, but again we do not feel that either Russia or China will risk significant action in the area.

In the Middle East, the United States has recognized the Golan Heights as part of Israel. Also, Iran has hinted that it could leave the nuclear Non-proliferation treaty, though some experts believe that Iran is working with North Korea on its nuclear programme. Additionally, the United States has agreed to sell Saudi Arabia nuclear technology.

The United States has issued orders to take steps to enhance EMP protection. Also, the U.S. says it is to begin a push for new nuclear arms control treaties, concerned over the cost of a new nuclear arms race.

In the Asia region, India has demonstrated anti-satellite capabilities.
One other area of concern has been manifesting itself recently: the Arctic. Russia has been making significant inroads in the area as it positions itself to exploit the natural resources in the area. This includes establishing military bases and has also declared significant portions of transit routes to be Russian only, with threats to destroy intruding vessels. The United States, for its part, severely lacks Arctic warfare capabilities, but says it is beginning to pivot toward that area. China, interestingly, has declared itself a “near-Arctic” country and is attempting to claim area access for travel. It will be interesting see how this plays out when it comes into conflict with Russian areas of declared sovereignty.

The DEFCON Warning System is a private intelligence organization which has monitored and assessed nuclear threats by national entities since 1984. It is not affiliated with any government agency and does not represent the alert status of any military branch. The public should make their own evaluations and not rely on the DEFCON Warning System for any strategic planning. At all times, citizens are urged to learn what steps to take in the event of a nuclear attack. If this had been an actual attack, the DEFCON Warning System will give radiation readings for areas that are reported to it. Your readings will vary. Official news sources will have radiation readings for your area.

For immediate updates, go to Breaking news and important information can be found on the DEFCON Warning System community forum and on the DEFCON Twitter feed DEFCONWSAlerts. You may also subscribe to the DEFCON Warning System mailing list. Note that Twitter and You Tube updates may be subject to delays. The next scheduled update is 2 P.M. Pacific Time, June 2nd, 2019. Additional updates will be made as the situation warrants, with more frequent updates at higher alert levels.

This concludes this broadcast of the DEFCON Warning System.

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