Will a Surviving Iranian Regime Be More Likely to Seek Nuclear Weapons?
In late February 2026, United States and Israel initiated major combat operations against Iran in an operation the U.S. government describes as
The DEFCON Warning System™
The World’s Only Public Nuclear Threat Advisory System. Independent, real-time analysis of global nuclear tensions. Since 1984.
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Nuclear War Risk & Stability Report – 9 March 2026
Alert Status: Condition Blue – DEFCON 4. There are currently no imminent nuclear threats, but several events in the world theatre warrant
Nuclear War Risk & Stability Briefing – 2 March 2026
DEFCON Warning System Alert Status: Condition Blue – DEFCON 41 PM UTC, Monday, 2 March 2026 There are currently no imminent nuclear
Global Nuclear Risks Intensify as Diplomacy, Military Posturing, and Arms Control Limits Converge
23 February 2026 — DEFCON Warning System Diplomatic engagement between the United States and Iran continues amid one of the largest American
Nuclear War Risk & Stability Briefing – 2/16/26
Alert Status This is The DEFCON Warning System. Alert status for 1 PM UTC, Monday, 6th February 2026:Condition Blue – DEFCON 4.
Nuclear War Risk & Stability Briefing – 2/9/26
The DEFCON Warning System Alert Status Report — 1 PM UTC, Monday, 9 February 2026 Condition Blue – DEFCON 4 There are
Nuclear War Risk & Stability Briefing – 1/26/26
DEFCON Warning System – Condition Blue (DEFCON 4)1 PM UTC, Monday, 26 January 2026 There are currently no imminent nuclear threats. However,
Nuclear War Risk & Stability Briefing – 1/19/26
DEFCON Warning System Condition Blue – DEFCON 4 Alert status for 1 PM UTC, Monday, 19th January 2026 There are currently no
Iran Crisis – DEFCON 4 Announcement
This is The DEFCON Warning System. Alert status for 12 AM, UTC, 15 January 2026: Condition Blue. DEFCON 4. There are currently
Global Reactions to Renewed U.S. Interventionism
The United States has a long history of intervening in other nations’ affairs, from Cold War-era coups to post-9/11 military campaigns. Traditionally
Nuclear War Risk & Strategic Stability Briefing – 1/12/26
Western Hemisphere Warning, Arctic Friction, NATO Cohesion Questions, Russian Nuclear Signalling, and Iran Unrest Alert status for 1 PM UTC, Monday, 12th
Close-Proximity Satellite Manoeuvres Highlight Growing Strategic Competition in Space
Recent orbital activity involving United States and Chinese satellites has underscored the increasing strategic competition taking place in Earth orbit. Defence analysts