Fate, Bias and Empires
I’m admittedly susceptible to the normalcy bias, and have remarked upon that occasionally. A personal guideline of mine, which I periodically cite:
The DEFCON Warning System™
Ongoing GeoIntel and Analysis in the theater of nuclear war. DEFCON Level assessment issued for public notification. Established 1984.
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The unpredictable Kim Jong-un and the risk of a first strike in a Korean War
Since the 1970s the Korean peninsula has never been far away from conflict. In common with his father and grandfather, Kim Jong-un likes to use inflammatory rhetoric
Trump strategy on NKorea: ‘Maximum pressure and engagement’
The Trump administration has settled on its North Korea strategy after a two-month review: “Maximum pressure and engagement.” U.S. officials said Friday
DEFCON Warning System – Update 4/11/17
This is the DEFCON Warning System. Alert status for 7 P.M., Wednesday, April 11th, 2017. Condition code is Blue. DEFCON 4. There
Syria event
We won’t dive deeply into what is generally known: The United States has launched a military strike against Syria. The burning question
DEFCON Warning System – Update 4/2/17
This is the DEFCON Warning System. Alert status for 6 P.M., Sunday, April 2nd, 2017. Condition code is Green. DEFCON 5. There
What A Korean War Could Look Like
Korea has been on the tipping point of a major conflict since the armistice of 1953. (The two sides are technically still
Yonhap: Trump’s N. Korea policy packed with sticks, rather than carrots
Clearer contours of the new U.S. policy on North Korea emerged as Secretary of State Rex Tillerson made unmistakably clear that carrots
As North Korea’s arsenal grows, experts see heightened risk of ‘miscalculation’
On the day of North Korea’s first atomic test in 2006, aides to President George W. Bush began phoning foreign capitals to
Preparations for a Future Test Continue at North Korea’s Punggye-ri Nuclear Test Site
New commercial satellite imagery of the Punggye-ri Nuclear Test Site from March 7 indicates activity at the North Portal, Main Administrative Area
DEFCON Warning System – Update 3/1/17
This is the DEFCON Warning System. Alert status for 6 P.M., Wednesday, March 1st, 2017. Condition code is Green. DEFCON 5. There
CTBTO: Reported I-131 Levels Aren’t Irregular; Would Have Seen Additional Isotopes Had A Nuclear Test Occurred
Vienna, 20 Feb. 2017 In response to multiple inquiries over the past 48 hours, the CTBTO reports that the radionuclide (RN) stations