Can a Nuclear War Be Won? America’s Adversaries May Think So
n 2021, U.S. president Joe Biden and Russian president Vladimir Putin said that nuclear war should never be fought and, if fought,
The DEFCON Warning System™
Ongoing GeoIntel and Analysis in the theater of nuclear war. DEFCON Level assessment issued for public notification. Established 1984.
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Can Russia and the West Survive a Nuclear Crisis in Ukraine?
The Russo-Ukrainian War may soon produce a major U.S.-Russian nuclear crisis. Despite President Joe Biden’s occasional cautionary remarks that he understands the
United States Walks Fine Line in Russia-Ukraine War
The United States is placing itself in a difficult position when it comes to Russia and the Ukraine war, according to past
Swiss Cold War bunkers back in vogue as Ukraine conflict rages
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has reawakened interest in Switzerland’s concrete nuclear fallout shelters, built during the Cold War with enough space to
Will Ukraine invasion push Japan to go nuclear?
How could Japan ever contemplate getting nukes? It’s a ridiculous idea. Japan is the only country in the world to have suffered
The Perils of Emotional Arguments for Intervention in Ukraine
Ikrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskyy told a special session of the U.S. Congress on Wednesday that “Russia has turned the Ukrainian sky into
The Nuclear 9/11 in Our Future
In my report Surprise Attack: ICBMs and the Real Nuclear Threat (2020), I warned that U.S. strategic cultural aversion to “thinking about
“I’ve studied the possible trajectories of the Russia-Ukraine war. None are good”
Wars sometimes start easily, but it is a tenet of strategy that they are always unpredictable and extremely hard to end. Putin’s
IAEA Director General Statement on Situation in Ukraine
Ukraine informed the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) today that the Chornobyl Nuclear Power Plant (NPP) had been disconnected from the electricity
Russia ‘has gone all in’: Does Putin have a way out of his war in Ukraine?
Ukraine is still standing. That may be a surprise to Russia as its invasion grinds toward a third destructive week. Not only
The Ukraine power plant fire was contained. But nuclear experts fear what’s to come in Russia’s war.
For a small tribe of veteran atomic experts who helped secure the Soviet Union’s nuclear energy and missiles as it started to
Russia Really Could Use A Nuclear Weapon In The Ukraine Conflict
For those of you who are new to The DEFCON Warning System, you’ve probably been seeing a lot of alarming messages. Doom!