The DEFCON Warning System™

Ongoing GeoIntel and Analysis in the theater of nuclear war. DEFCON Level assessment issued for public notification. Established 1984.

NATO

Russia is escalating its dangerous shadow war against NATO, and there are fears it could get a lot worse

Far beyond the front lines in Ukraine, Russia is waging a different kind of warfare against NATO. It is a covert, low-intensity

NATO allies worry the US can’t defend Europe and counter China, but there’s a way

China’s threat to Taiwan also poses a profound dilemma for NATO — does it tie up its most powerful ally from European

China’s Expanding Arctic Ambitions Challenge the U.S. and NATO

As the Arctic summer melts the polar bear tracks on the sea ice around Norway’s Spitsbergen Island, dozens of Chinese scientists are

World War War III May Already Have Started—in the Shadows

Britain’s signals intelligence spy chief raised eyebrows this week with warnings that Russia is coordinating both cyberattacks and physical acts of sabotage

The Looming Ukraine Debacle

With Ukraine’s military situation deteriorating, NATO foreign ministers have gathered in Brussels to develop a long-term plan to deliver the necessary supplies

The ‘Real Nuclear Crisis’ Fear Behind a Single Pentagon Document

The United States may be looking to station nuclear weapons in the United Kingdom for the first time in 15 years—and the

Sweden’s NATO Accession Limits Putin’s Options

After months of diplomatic delays, Sweden can now join NATO—a genuine triumph for the Biden administration. This development has enormous geostrategic implications

NATO to surge troops to Russian border

NATO plans to surge troops to Russia’s border as part of an effort to become a “war-fighting alliance,” the New York Times

The Impact of Finland’s NATO Membership on Trans-Atlantic Security Relations

As one of the most stable and prosperous countries in the world, Finland’s decision to join NATO is a critical development in

NATO allies wake up to Russian supremacy in the Arctic

The world’s largest satellite ground station, on the Svalbard archipelago off Norway, is used by Western space agencies to gather vital signals

Pathways to Russian Escalation Against NATO from the Ukraine War

The potential for further escalation in the ongoing war in Ukraine is a significant concern. Although much of this escalation will surely

West, Russia mull nuclear steps in a ‘more dangerous’ world

Russia’s assault on Ukraine and its veiled threats of using nuclear arms have policymakers, past and present, thinking the unthinkable: How should