The DEFCON Warning System™

The World’s Only Public Nuclear Threat Advisory System. Independent, real-time analysis of global nuclear tensions. Since 1984.

DEFCON 4 - Blue

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Announcements

DEFCON Warning System – Update 3-20-22

This is the DEFCON Warning System. Alert status for 9 P.M. UTC, Sunday, March 20th, 2022. Condition code is Yellow. DEFCON 3. ...
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World

The Nuclear 9/11 in Our Future

In my report Surprise Attack: ICBMs and the Real Nuclear Threat (2020), I warned that U.S. strategic cultural aversion to “thinking about ...
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Middle East

Iran intensifies threats, heating up Middle East and Israel tensions – analysis

Iran’s regime looks to be moving toward a newly aggressive posture in the last week. This comes amid the Ukraine war as ...
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Russia

Putin Still a Rational Man Who Won’t Use Nuclear Weapons, Top Experts Say

Despite the prevalence of opinions that Vladimir Putin has lost his mind, nuclear weapons experts continue to see the Russian president as ...
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Lighthope's Beacon

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Ongoing Geointel and Analysis in the theater of nuclear war.

Opportunity

© 2026 The DEFCON Warning System. Established 1984.

The DEFCON Warning System is a private intelligence organization which has monitored and assessed nuclear threats by national entities since 1984. It is not affiliated with any government agency and does not represent the alert status of any military branch. The public should make their own evaluations and not rely on the DEFCON Warning System for any strategic planning. At all times, citizens are urged to learn what steps to take in the event of a nuclear attack.