DEFCON Warning System – Update 10/1/21

This is the DEFCON Warning System. Alert status for 2 P.M., Friday, October 1st, 2021. Condition code is Green. DEFCON 5.

There are currently no imminent nuclear threats at this time.

South Korea plans to develop new missiles with significantly enhanced destructive power after the recent lifting of U.S. curbs on the country’s missile development.  Meanwhile, North Korea has successfully tested a cruise missile capable of 1500 kilometer range and claims a successful test of a hypersonic missile.  Additionally, North Korea has launched a missile from a railcar.  Missiles hidden in railcars are more difficult to find and destroy, though they can be less accurate than ground-based missiles.

The International Atomic Energy Agency reports that nuclear monitors are missing from Iranian nuclear stations.  Experts examining IAEA data report that Iran has come within roughly a month of having enough material to fuel a single nuclear weapon.

There have been no indirect talks between Iran and the United States about re-joining the nuclear deal since Iran’s new hard-line president took office.  Iran has also selected a hardline cabinet for negotiations with the United States for negotiations over its nuclear programme.

The United States currently lags behind development of missile interceptors as the government appoints those who are against missile defence into positions of authority.

Russia has militarized Belarus as it moves fighters to “secure its borders.” Additionally, Russia warns that any NATO military infrastructure expansion into Ukraine would be a red line.  It did not state what consequences there would be if the red line was crossed.

China has threatened through its publication Global Times to send warships to U.S. territorial waters. Meanwhile, Western powers continue to sail ships into South China Sea, which China claims as their own territory.  Japan, for its part, claims a red line against China for Diaoyu Islands, saying it would match “any Chinese threat to the islands ship for ship, and beyond if necessary.”

The DEFCON Warning System is a private intelligence organization which has monitored and assessed nuclear threats by national entities since 1984. It is not affiliated with any government agency and does not represent the alert status of any military branch. The public should make their own evaluations and not rely on the DEFCON Warning System for any strategic planning. At all times, citizens are urged to learn what steps to take in the event of a nuclear attack. If this had been an actual attack, the DEFCON Warning System will give radiation readings for areas that are reported to it. Your readings will vary. Official news sources will have radiation readings for your area.

For immediate updates, go to Breaking news and important information can be found on the DEFCON Warning System community forum and on the DEFCON Twitter feed DEFCONWS Alerts. You may also subscribe to the DEFCON Warning System mailing list. Note that Twitter updates may be subject to delays. The next scheduled update is 2 P.M. Pacific Time, November 1st, 2021. Additional updates will be made as the situation warrants, with more frequent updates at higher alert levels.

This concludes this broadcast of the DEFCON Warning System.

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