DEFCON Warning System – Update 10/1/18

This is the DEFCON Warning System. Alert status for 2 P.M., Monday, October 1st, 2018. Condition code is Green. DEFCON 5.

There are currently no imminent nuclear threats against the United States at this time.

While there have been positive reports coming out of North Korea in regards to its nuclear programme and military stance, there is a troublesome undercurrent which belies the public presence that is being put forth.

North Korea says it is willing to accept stronger measures to curb its nuclear programme as well as wanting the U.S. to formally end the Korean War. Additionally, in its recent military parade celebrating its 70th anniversary, North Korea did not display ICBMs. North Korea has requested a second summit meeting with United States, and the United States is open to the idea. Further, North and South Korea have opened a full-time liaison office at border, and North Korea has agreed to dismantle its engine test site under foreign observation. The country says it will take further steps if the United States “corresponding measures”. Meanwhile, South Korea begins to remove mines from two border sites.

Despite the movements by North Korea, it is important to remember that experts have noted that the steps North Korea has taken to curb its nuclear programme have been in areas that the country no longer needs to continue nuclear weapons development. Additionally, China has steadily loosened restrictions on trade with North Korea in recent months, undercutting U.S. efforts to exert economic pressure on the regime. Without evidence to the contrary, the DEFCON Warning System believe that North Korea is continuing its weapons research.

The United States has loosened restrictions as to when it can take offensive action in cyberspace, which has caused concern that the the threshold for war has been lowered. The U.S. has also reactivated the 2nd Fleet in check to Russian activity. Meanwhile, Democrats in the United States have introduced a bill to ban low-yield nuclear weapons, a harbinger of what may come should the Democrats take control of Congress in the upcoming November elections.

Turning to Iran, the International Atomic Energy Agency again states that Iran is in compliance with the agreement known as the nuclear deal. Meanwhile, Iran says it has completed its facility to build advanced centrifuges at Natanz, and Iran and Russia continue to closely cooperate in various fields of the nuclear industry. Also of note is that Iran has threatened to work with North Korea on the advancement of its nuclear programme if sanctions against the country are not removed.

Russia has announced plans to hold large wargames with China on a regular basis. Of special note is that No Open Skies Treaty flights have been conducted in 2018 due to ongoing disagreements between Russia and the United States. Ukraine is building a maritime operations center on Ukraine’s Black Sea coast for use during annual U.S. and Ukrainian military exercises. Meanwhile, the United Kingdom is to send troops to Arctic region in an attempt to counter Russian encroachment in the area.

The DEFCON Warning System is a private intelligence organization which has monitored and assessed nuclear threats against the United States by national entities since 1984. It is not affiliated with any government agency and does not represent the alert status of any military branch. The public should make their own evaluations and not rely on the DEFCON Warning System for any strategic planning. At all times, citizens are urged to learn what steps to take in the event of a nuclear attack.

If this had been an actual attack, the DEFCON Warning System will give radiation readings for areas that are reported to it. Your readings will vary. Official news sources will have radiation readings for your area.

For immediate updates, go to Breaking news and important information can be found on the DEFCON Warning System community forum and on the DEFCON Twitter feed DEFCONWSAlerts. You may also subscribe to the DEFCON Warning System mailing list. Note that Twitter and You Tube updates may be subject to delays. The next scheduled update is 2 P.M. Pacific Time, November 1st, 2018. Additional updates will be made as the situation warrants, with more frequent updates at higher alert levels.

This concludes this broadcast of the DEFCON Warning System.

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